Raymond’s highly scientific predictions for the 2017 NCAA men’s basketball tournament

Raymond Chen

Raymond

It’s been a few years since the last time, but it’s back: Raymond comes up with an absurd, arbitrary criterion for filling out his NCAA bracket.

This year, I base it on the average attendance of the team’s basketball games. I worked mostly from the numbers released by the NCAA, but there were a few schools not represented in that report, so I had to do some research to get their attendance numbers.

Now, you might say that attendance doesn’t really represent how good the team is. Rather, it reflects the size of the school’s basketball arena, the rabidity of the school’s fan base, and the strength of the school’s schedule. But I say that those things are indicators of the school’s strength, and that’s what makes this highly scientific

Once the field has been narrowed to four teams, the results are determined by a coin flip. (I should have done this when the field reduced to eight teams rather than four, but I messed up when I wrote the script that generates the brackets and now I’m too lazy to fix it. Also: highly scientific.)

Opening Round Games

Mt. St Mary’s(2,207)
Mt. St Mary’s
(2,207)
New Orleans(631)
Providence(9,703)
Providence
(9,703)
USC(6,456)
N.C. Central(1,588)
UC Davis
(2,111)
UC Davis(2,111)
Kansas St.(11,902)
Kansas St.
(11,902)
Wake Forest(9,520)

Group 1

1Villanova(8,119)
Villanova
(8,119)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
16Mount St Mary’s(2,207)
8Wisconsin(17,287)
Wisconsin
(17,287)
9Va. Tech(6,658)
5Virginia(14,111)
Virginia
(14,111)
Virginia
(14,111)
12UNC-Wilm.(4,199)
4Florida(9,686)
Florida
(9,686)
13ETSU(3,065)
6SMU(6,907)
Providence
(9,703)
Providence
(9,703)
Marquette
(13,308)
11Providence(9,703)
3Baylor(6,410)
Baylor
(6,410)
14New Mex. St.(4,767)
7S. Carolina(11,995)
Marquette
(13,308)
Marquette
(13,308)
10Marquette(13,308)
2Duke(9,314)
Duke
(9,314)
15Troy(1,490)

Group 2

1Gonzaga(6,000)
Gonzaga
(6,000)
Northwestern
(6,913)
W. Virginia
(10,583)
Maryland
(17,863)
16S. Dak. St.(2,781)
8Northwestern(6,913)
Northwestern
(6,913)
9Vanderbilt(2,274)
5Notre Dame(8,517)
Notre Dame
(8,517)
W. Virginia
(10,583)
12Princeton(2,327)
4W. Virginia(10,583)
W. Virginia
(10,583)
13Bucknell(2,770)
6Maryland(17,863)
Maryland
(17,863)
Maryland
(17,863)
Maryland
(17,863)
11Xavier(10,281)
3Florida St.(7,014)
Florida St.
(7,014)
14FGCU(3,668)
7St. Mary’s(2,611)
VCU
(7,637)
Arizona
(14,526)
10VCU(7,637)
2Arizona(14,526)
Arizona
(14,526)
15North Dakota(1,850)

Group 3

1Kansas(16,436)
Kansas
(16,436)
Kansas
(16,436)
Kansas
(16,436)
Louisville
(20,859)
16UC Davis(2,111)
8Miami (Fla.)(7,006)
Michigan St.
(14,797)
9Michigan St.(14,797)
5Iowa St.(14,270)
Iowa St.
(14,270)
Iowa St.
(14,270)
12Nevada(6,554)
4Purdue(13,662)
Purdue
(13,662)
13Vermont(2,126)
6Creighton(15,941)
Creighton
(15,941)
Creighton
(15,941)
Louisville
(20,859)
11Rhode Island(4,717)
3Oregon(7,466)
Oregon
(7,466)
14Iona(1,826)
7Michigan(11,611)
Michigan
(11,611)
Louisville
(20,859)
10Oklahoma St.(5,857)
2Louisville(20,859)
Louisville
(20,859)
15Jax. State(1,092)

Group 4

1N. Carolina(18,326)
N. Carolina
(18,326)
N. Carolina
(18,326)
N. Carolina
(18,326)
Kentucky
(23,361)
16Texas So.(2,421)
8Arkansas(14,879)
Arkansas
(14,879)
9Seton Hall(7,070)
5Minnesota(10,706)
Minnesota
(10,706)
Minnesota
(10,706)
12Middle Tenn.(5,183)
4Butler(8,164)
Butler
(8,164)
13Winthrop(1,454)
6Cincinnati(9,415)
Kansas St.
(11,902)
Kansas St.
(11,902)
Kentucky
(23,361)
11Kansas St.(11,902)
3UCLA(8,073)
UCLA
(8,073)
14Kent St.(3,587)
7Dayton(12,941)
Dayton
(12,941)
Kentucky
(23,361)
10Wichita St.(10,805)
2Kentucky(23,361)
Kentucky
(23,361)
15N. Kentucky(1,504)

Finals

Wisconsin(2)
Wisconsin
(2)
Louisvile
(3)
Maryland(0)
Louisville(3)
Louisville
(3)
Kentucky(1)
Raymond Chen
Raymond Chen

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