Raymond's highly scientific predictions for the 2010 NCAA men's basketball tournament

Raymond Chen

Once again, it’s time for Raymond to come up with an absurd, arbitrary criterion for filling out his NCAA bracket. This year, we go to the well-known dispute arbiter Google Fight. The criterion is the number of Google hits for the quoted phrase "%s basketball", divided by the school’s seed. (I would have used Bing hits, except Bing’s numbers are highly erratic. Only 291 hits for "Arkansas-Pine Bluff basketball"? The results may be more meaningful, but I’m not looking for meaningful results; I’m looking for numbers I can plug into my bracket-o-matic.) Once the field has been narrowed to eight teams, the results are determined by a coin flip.

Update:

  • Correct predictions are in green.
  • Incorrect predictions are in red.
  • (!) marks upsets correctly predicted.
  • (*) marks upsets predicted but did not take place.
  • (x) marks actual upsets not predicted.

Opening Round Game

Arkansas-Pine Bluff (80,900) Arkansas-Pine Bluff
(80,900)
Winthrop (29,200)

Midwest bracket

1 Kansas (94,200) Kansas
(94,200)
Kansas
(94,200) (x)
Kansas
(heads)
Kansas
16 Lehigh (1,400)
8 UNLV (43,875) Northern Iowa
(57,444) (!)
9 Northern Iowa (57,444)
5 Michigan State (15,120) Michigan State
(15,120)
Maryland
(27,750) (x)
12 New Mexico State (11,083)
4 Maryland (27,750) Maryland
(27,750)
13 Houston (6,784)
6 Tennessee (11,550) San Diego State
(17,272) (*)
Georgetown
(24,766)
Ohio State
(tails)
11 San Diego State (17,272)
3 Georgetown (24,766) Georgetown
(24,766) (x)
14 Ohio (2,057)
7 Oklahoma State (2,857) Oklahoma State
(2,857) (x)
Ohio State
(34,700)
10 Georgia Tech (2,750)
2 Ohio State (34,700) Ohio State
(34,700)
15 UC Santa Barbara (4,746)

West bracket

1 Syracuse (131,000) Syracuse
(131,000)
Syracuse
(131,000)
Syracuse
(tails)
Pittsburgh
16 Vermont (5,312)
8 Gonzaga (5,325) Gonzaga
(5,325)
9 Florida State (1,644)
5 Butler (26,000) Butler
(26,000)
Vanderbilt
(61,750)
12 UTEP (7,600)
4 Vanderbilt (61,750) Vanderbilt
(61,750) (x)
13 Murray State (6,761)
6 Xavier (26,500) Xavier
(26,500)
Pittsburgh
(54,666) (x)
Pittsburgh
(heads)
11 Minnesota (3,427)
3 Pittsburgh (54,666) Pittsburgh
(54,666)
14 Oakland (1,728)
7 BYU (6,785) BYU
(6,785)
Kansas State
(25,000)
10 Florida (5,850)
2 Kansas State (25,000) Kansas State
(25,000)
15 North Texas (7,066)

East bracket

1 Kentucky (285,000) Kentucky
(285,000)
Kentucky
(285,000)
Kentucky
(tails)
New Mexico
16 East Tennessee State (3,687)
8 Texas (24,250) Texas
(24,250) (x)
9 Wake Forest (3,022)
5 Temple (32,600) Cornell
(60,000) (!)
Cornell
(60,000) (!)
12 Cornell (60,000)
4 Wisconsin (8,325) Wisconsin
(8,325)
13 Wofford (2,192)
6 Marquette (15,283) Marquette
(15,283) (x)
New Mexico
(17,633)
New Mexico
(heads)
11 Washington (4,009)
3 New Mexico (17,633) New Mexico
(17,633)
14 Montana (1,778)
7 Clemson (4,885) Clemson
(4,885) (x)
West Virginia
(10,800)
10 Missouri (3,700)
2 West Virginia (10,800) West Virginia
(10,800)
15 Morgan State (5,686)

South bracket

1 Duke (363,000) Duke
(363,000)
Duke
(363,000)
Duke
(heads)
Duke
16 Arkansas-Pine Bluff (5,056)
8 California (2,487) Louisville
(17,444) (*)
9 Louisville (17,444)
5 Texas A&M (156,000) Texas A&M
(156,000)
Texas A&M
(156,000) (*)
12 Utah State (0,883)
4 Purdue (12,000) Purdue
(12,000)
13 Siena (0,900)
6 Notre Dame (14,450) Old Dominion
(14,454) (!)
Old Dominion
(14,454) (*)
Villanova
(tails)
11 Old Dominion (14,454)
3 Baylor (11,100) Baylor
(11,100)
14 Sam Houston State (4,671)
7 Richmond (5,714) Saint Mary’s
(9,900) (!)
Villanova
(18,000) (x)
10 Saint Mary’s (9,900)
2 Villanova (18,000) Villanova
(18,000)
15 Robert Morris (13,000)

Finals

Kansas (tails) Pittsburgh
(heads)
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh (heads)
New Mexico (heads) New Mexico
(tails)
Duke (tails)

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