Raymond's highly scientific predictions for the 2006 NCAA men's basketball tournament

Raymond Chen

Raymond

Methodology explained earlier.
Update:

  • Correct predictions are in green.
  • Incorrect predictions are in red.
  • (!) marks upsets correctly predicted.
  • (*) marks upsets predicted but did not take place.
  • (x) marks actual upsets not predicted.

Dayton mini-bracket

Monmouth (2003)Hampton
Hampton (1978)

Atlanta bracket

Duke (2004)DukeGeorge (*)
Washington
George
Washington
George
Washington
Geo. Washington (1988)George
Washington
UNC-Wilmington (2003)
Syracuse (2004)Syracuse (x)Syracuse
LSU (2005)LSU
West Virginia (1995)West
Virginia
West
Virginia
West
Virginia
Southern Illinois (2001)
Iowa (2003)Iowa (x)
California (2003)California (x)California
NC State (2005)
Texas (2006)Texas

Oakland bracket

Memphis (2001)MemphisArkansasKansasKansas
Arkansas (1997)Arkansas (x)
Bucknell (2004)
Pittsburgh (1996)PittsburghKansas
Kansas (1995)Kansas (x)
Indiana (2003)San Diego St. (*)San Diego St.Marquette
San Diego St. (1996)
Gonzaga (1998)Gonzaga
Marquette (1995)Marquette (x)Marquette
Alabama (2003)
UCLA (1997)UCLA

Washington, D.C. bracket

Connecticut (1996)ConnecticutConnecticutConnecticutSeton Hall
Kentucky (2001)Kentucky
UAB (2002)
Washington (2004)WashingtonWashington (!)
Illinois (2005)Illinois
Michigan State (2003)George
Mason (!)
George
Mason (!)
Seton Hall
George Mason (1996)
North Carolina (2000)North
Carolina
Wichita State (1999)Seton Hall (*)Seton Hall
Seton Hall (1995)
Tennessee (2004)Tennessee

Minneapolis bracket

Villanova (1988)VillanovaVillanovaVillanovaVillanova
Arizona (1997)Arizona
Wisconsin (2004)
Nevada (2005)Nevada (x)Boston
College
Boston College (1996)Boston
College
Oklahoma (1994)Oklahoma (x)OklahomaOklahoma
UW-Milwaukee (2003)
Florida (2003)Florida
Georgetown (2001)Northern
Iowa (*)
Northern
Iowa
Northern Iowa (1995)
Ohio State (2002)Ohio State

Finals

George Washington (1988)George
Washington
George
Washington
Kansas (1995)
Seton Hall (1995)Villanova
Villanova (1988)

As I noted yesterday, the final will be very close, with George Washington University edging out Villanova by two months, 1988.08.01 to 1988.10.05.

Other people have come up with their own systems. The person a few doors down from me chose an algorithm that can be captured in three words: “Shorter name wins”. But my favorite is somebody whose highly scientific method is “The team that pays its basketball coach more.”

Raymond Chen
Raymond Chen

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