{"id":95725,"date":"2017-03-13T07:00:01","date_gmt":"2017-03-13T21:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.msdn.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/?p=95725"},"modified":"2019-03-13T01:07:55","modified_gmt":"2019-03-13T08:07:55","slug":"20170313-01","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/20170313-01\/?p=95725\/","title":{"rendered":"Raymond’s highly scientific predictions for the 2017 NCAA men’s basketball tournament"},"content":{"rendered":"

It’s been a few years since the last time, but it’s back: Raymond comes up with an absurd<\/a>, arbitrary<\/a> criterion<\/a> for<\/a> filling<\/a> out<\/a> his<\/a> NCAA<\/a> bracket<\/a>. <\/p>\n

This year, I base it on the average attendance of the team’s basketball games. I worked mostly from the numbers released by the NCAA<\/a>, but there were a few schools not represented in that report, so I had to do some research to get their attendance numbers. <\/p>\n

Now, you might say that attendance doesn’t really represent how good the team is. Rather, it reflects the size of the school’s basketball arena, the rabidity of the school’s fan base, and the strength of the school’s schedule. But I say that those things are indicators of the school’s strength, and that’s what makes this highly scientific<\/i> <\/p>\n

Once the field has been narrowed to four teams, the results are determined by a coin flip<\/a>. (I should have done this when the field reduced to eight teams rather than four, but I messed up when I wrote the script that generates the brackets and now I’m too lazy to fix it. Also: highly scientific<\/i>.) <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n

Opening Round Games<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\nMt. St Mary’s<\/td>\n(2,207)<\/td>\n\n
Mt. St Mary’s
(2,207)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nNew Orleans<\/td>\n(631)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nProvidence<\/td>\n(9,703)<\/td>\n\n
Providence
(9,703)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nUSC<\/a><\/td>\n(6,456)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nN.C. Central<\/td>\n(1,588)<\/td>\n\n
UC Davis
(2,111)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nUC Davis<\/td>\n(2,111)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nKansas St.<\/td>\n(11,902)<\/td>\n\n
Kansas St.
(11,902)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nWake Forest<\/td>\n(9,520)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/p>\n

Group 1<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

1<\/td>\nVillanova<\/td>\n(8,119)<\/td>\n\n
Villanova
(8,119)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Wisconsin
(17,287)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Wisconsin
(17,287)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Wisconsin
(17,287)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nMount St Mary’s<\/td>\n(2,207)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nWisconsin<\/td>\n(17,287)<\/td>\n\n
Wisconsin
(17,287)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nVa. Tech<\/td>\n(6,658)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nVirginia<\/td>\n(14,111)<\/td>\n\n
Virginia
(14,111)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Virginia
(14,111)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nUNC-Wilm.<\/td>\n(4,199)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nFlorida<\/td>\n(9,686)<\/td>\n\n
Florida
(9,686)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nETSU<\/td>\n(3,065)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nSMU<\/td>\n(6,907)<\/td>\n\n
Providence
(9,703)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Providence
(9,703)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Marquette
(13,308)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\nProvidence<\/td>\n(9,703)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nBaylor<\/td>\n(6,410)<\/td>\n\n
Baylor
(6,410)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nNew Mex. St.<\/td>\n(4,767)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nS. Carolina<\/td>\n(11,995)<\/td>\n\n
Marquette
(13,308)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Marquette
(13,308)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nMarquette<\/td>\n(13,308)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nDuke<\/td>\n(9,314)<\/td>\n\n
Duke
(9,314)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nTroy<\/td>\n(1,490)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/p>\n

Group 2<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

1<\/td>\nGonzaga<\/td>\n(6,000)<\/td>\n\n
Gonzaga
(6,000)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Northwestern
(6,913)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
W. Virginia
(10,583)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Maryland
(17,863)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nS. Dak. St.<\/td>\n(2,781)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nNorthwestern<\/td>\n(6,913)<\/td>\n\n
Northwestern
(6,913)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nVanderbilt<\/td>\n(2,274)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nNotre Dame<\/td>\n(8,517)<\/td>\n\n
Notre Dame
(8,517)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
W. Virginia
(10,583)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nPrinceton<\/td>\n(2,327)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nW. Virginia<\/td>\n(10,583)<\/td>\n\n
W. Virginia
(10,583)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nBucknell<\/td>\n(2,770)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nMaryland<\/td>\n(17,863)<\/td>\n\n
Maryland
(17,863)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Maryland
(17,863)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Maryland
(17,863)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\nXavier<\/td>\n(10,281)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nFlorida St.<\/td>\n(7,014)<\/td>\n\n
Florida St.
(7,014)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nFGCU<\/td>\n(3,668)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nSt. Mary’s<\/td>\n(2,611)<\/td>\n\n
VCU
(7,637)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Arizona
(14,526)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nVCU<\/td>\n(7,637)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nArizona<\/td>\n(14,526)<\/td>\n\n
Arizona
(14,526)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nNorth Dakota<\/td>\n(1,850)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/p>\n

Group 3<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

1<\/td>\nKansas<\/td>\n(16,436)<\/td>\n\n
Kansas
(16,436)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Kansas
(16,436)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Kansas
(16,436)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Louisville
(20,859)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nUC Davis<\/td>\n(2,111)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nMiami (Fla.)<\/td>\n(7,006)<\/td>\n\n
Michigan St.
(14,797)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nMichigan St.<\/td>\n(14,797)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nIowa St.<\/td>\n(14,270)<\/td>\n\n
Iowa St.
(14,270)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Iowa St.
(14,270)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nNevada<\/td>\n(6,554)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nPurdue<\/td>\n(13,662)<\/td>\n\n
Purdue
(13,662)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nVermont<\/td>\n(2,126)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nCreighton<\/td>\n(15,941)<\/td>\n\n
Creighton
(15,941)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Creighton
(15,941)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Louisville
(20,859)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\nRhode Island<\/td>\n(4,717)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nOregon<\/td>\n(7,466)<\/td>\n\n
Oregon
(7,466)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nIona<\/td>\n(1,826)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nMichigan<\/td>\n(11,611)<\/td>\n\n
Michigan
(11,611)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Louisville
(20,859)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nOklahoma St.<\/td>\n(5,857)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nLouisville<\/td>\n(20,859)<\/td>\n\n
Louisville
(20,859)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nJax. State<\/td>\n(1,092)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/p>\n

Group 4<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

1<\/td>\nN. Carolina<\/td>\n(18,326)<\/td>\n\n
N. Carolina
(18,326)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
N. Carolina
(18,326)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
N. Carolina
(18,326)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Kentucky
(23,361)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nTexas So.<\/td>\n(2,421)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nArkansas<\/td>\n(14,879)<\/td>\n\n
Arkansas
(14,879)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nSeton Hall<\/td>\n(7,070)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nMinnesota<\/td>\n(10,706)<\/td>\n\n
Minnesota
(10,706)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Minnesota
(10,706)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nMiddle Tenn.<\/td>\n(5,183)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nButler<\/td>\n(8,164)<\/td>\n\n
Butler
(8,164)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nWinthrop<\/td>\n(1,454)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nCincinnati<\/td>\n(9,415)<\/td>\n\n
Kansas St.
(11,902)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Kansas St.
(11,902)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Kentucky
(23,361)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\nKansas St.<\/td>\n(11,902)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nUCLA<\/td>\n(8,073)<\/td>\n\n
UCLA
(8,073)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nKent St.<\/td>\n(3,587)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nDayton<\/td>\n(12,941)<\/td>\n\n
Dayton
(12,941)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Kentucky
(23,361)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nWichita St.<\/td>\n(10,805)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nKentucky<\/td>\n(23,361)<\/td>\n\n
Kentucky
(23,361)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nN. Kentucky<\/a><\/td>\n(1,504)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/p>\n

Finals<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

<\/td>\nWisconsin<\/td>\n(2)<\/td>\n\n
Wisconsin
(2)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n
\n
Louisvile
(3)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nMaryland<\/td>\n(0)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nLouisville<\/td>\n(3)<\/td>\n\n
Louisville
(3)<\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\nKentucky<\/td>\n(1)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This one will definitely work, right?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1069,"featured_media":111744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[107,103],"class_list":["post-95725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oldnewthing","tag-highly-scientific","tag-non-computer"],"acf":[],"blog_post_summary":"

This one will definitely work, right?<\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1069"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95725"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95725\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}