{"id":94215,"date":"2016-08-31T07:00:00","date_gmt":"2016-08-31T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.msdn.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/?p=94215"},"modified":"2019-03-13T11:06:18","modified_gmt":"2019-03-13T18:06:18","slug":"20160831-00","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/20160831-00\/?p=94215","title":{"rendered":"The ship date predictor: Redux"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last year, I shared <a HREF=\"http:\/\/blogs.msdn.com\/b\/oldnewthing\/archive\/2015\/08\/24\/10637017.aspx\">the ship date predictor<\/a>. My colleague who created the chart contacted me last year and told me what happened when he tried to apply the ship date predictor to subsequent projects. <\/p>\n<p>He discovered that &#8220;the rules for Windows 95 didn&#8217;t carry over, so my nomination for the Nobel Prize in Project Management was withdrawn.&#8221; He did find, interestingly, that each management team had its own consistent scheduling errors, so the chart was useful only in retrospect, revealing each management team&#8217;s individual error ratio. <\/p>\n<p>My colleague continued tracking the data until the late 2000&#8217;s, at which time scheduling became more accurate and the exercise became uninteresting. <\/p>\n<p>Happy 21st birthday, Windows 95. <\/p>\n<p><b>Bonus chatter<\/b>: My colleague also looked up the career of the person who wrote &#8220;Otherwise, I&#8217;ll be applying for a job at McDonalds.&#8221; According to LinkedIn, that person left Microsoft in 2000 and now works at another major technology company. (Not McDonalds.) <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Each project is different.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1069,"featured_media":111744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[2],"class_list":["post-94215","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oldnewthing","tag-history"],"acf":[],"blog_post_summary":"<p>Each project is different.<\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94215","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1069"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=94215"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/94215\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=94215"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=94215"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=94215"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}