{"id":6453,"date":"2012-09-28T07:00:01","date_gmt":"2012-09-28T07:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.msdn.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/2012\/09\/28\/2012-q3-link-clearance-microsoft-research-edition\/"},"modified":"2012-09-28T07:00:01","modified_gmt":"2012-09-28T07:00:01","slug":"2012-q3-link-clearance-microsoft-research-edition","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/20120928-01\/?p=6453","title":{"rendered":"2012 Q3 link clearance: Microsoft research edition"},"content":{"rendered":"

My Q1 and Q3 link clearances are traditionally for links to other Microsoft bloggers, but this time I’m going to link to a few Microsoft research papers I found interesting. <\/p>\n

Why do Nigerian scammers say they’re from Nigeria? <\/a> <\/b> <\/p>\n

\n

Short answer<\/a>: Because it ensures that the replies come only from the most gullible people on earth. <\/p>\n

Bonus chatter<\/b>: I received a scam email purportedly from Sir Humphrey Appleby<\/a>, secretary to the Prime Minister. I could tell it was a fake because the message was comprehensible. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Sketch2Cartoon: Composing Cartoon Images by Sketching <\/a> <\/b> <\/p>\n

\n

Okay, I admit I haven’t read the paper. But the video is fun to watch. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Debugging in the (Very) Large: Ten Years of Implementation and Experience <\/a> <\/b> <\/p>\n

\n

This is the paper on Windows Error Reporting that everybody cites. To me, it gets interesting starting in Section 6. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

An Empirical Analysis of Hardware Failures on a Million Consumer PCs <\/a> <\/b> <\/p>\n

\n

I had the good fortune of seeing an early version of this paper. The thing that jumped out at me was the hard drive failure information: <\/p>\n

    \n
  • The probability of a failure in the first 5 days of uptime is 1 in 470. <\/li>\n
  • Once you’ve had one failure, the probability of a second failure is 1 in 3.4. <\/li>\n
  • Once you’ve had two failures, the probability of a third failure is 1 in 1.9. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Translation: That hard drive failure you experienced? It was no fluke. Once you experience your first hard drive failure, the odds of a second one increase by a factor of over 100<\/i>. <\/p>\n

    What’s more, that second failure is highly likely (86%) to occur within the next ten days, and almost certainly (99%) within the next thirty. <\/p>\n

    Conclusion: When you get a hard drive failure, replace the drive immediately<\/i>. <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    My Q1 and Q3 link clearances are traditionally for links to other Microsoft bloggers, but this time I’m going to link to a few Microsoft research papers I found interesting. Why do Nigerian scammers say they’re from Nigeria? Short answer: Because it ensures that the replies come only from the most gullible people on earth. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1069,"featured_media":111744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-6453","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oldnewthing","tag-other"],"acf":[],"blog_post_summary":"

    My Q1 and Q3 link clearances are traditionally for links to other Microsoft bloggers, but this time I’m going to link to a few Microsoft research papers I found interesting. Why do Nigerian scammers say they’re from Nigeria? Short answer: Because it ensures that the replies come only from the most gullible people on earth. […]<\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6453","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1069"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6453"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6453\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6453"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6453"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6453"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}