{"id":28083,"date":"2007-02-08T10:00:19","date_gmt":"2007-02-08T10:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.msdn.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/2007\/02\/08\/who-is-most-likely-to-be-awarded-a-macarthur-fellowship\/"},"modified":"2007-02-08T10:00:19","modified_gmt":"2007-02-08T10:00:19","slug":"who-is-most-likely-to-be-awarded-a-macarthur-fellowship","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/20070208-19\/?p=28083","title":{"rendered":"Who is most likely to be awarded a MacArthur Fellowship?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> You can count on <a href=\"http:\/\/www.improbable.com\/\"> The Annals of Improbable Research<\/a> to produce groundbreaking results. One of my favorites is <i><a href=\"http:\/\/members.bellatlantic.net\/~vze3fs8i\/air\/genius.html\">Who is most likely to be awarded a MacArthur Fellowship?<\/a><\/i>, in which researcher (and AIR editorial board member) <a href=\"http:\/\/members.bellatlantic.net\/~vze3fs8i\/index.html\"> Eric Schulman<\/a> performs a careful statistical analysis of previous winners of the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.macfdn.org\/\"> MacArthur Fellowship<\/a> in order to determine who is most likely to win the next one. <\/p>\n<p> Schulman also <a href=\"http:\/\/members.bellatlantic.net\/~vze3fs8i\/air\/Elections.htm\"> correctly predicted the outcome of the 2004 U.S. presidential election<\/a> using much more complicated reasoning. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>You can count on The Annals of Improbable Research to produce groundbreaking results. One of my favorites is Who is most likely to be awarded a MacArthur Fellowship?, in which researcher (and AIR editorial board member) Eric Schulman performs a careful statistical analysis of previous winners of the MacArthur Fellowship in order to determine who [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1069,"featured_media":111744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[103],"class_list":["post-28083","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oldnewthing","tag-non-computer"],"acf":[],"blog_post_summary":"<p>You can count on The Annals of Improbable Research to produce groundbreaking results. One of my favorites is Who is most likely to be awarded a MacArthur Fellowship?, in which researcher (and AIR editorial board member) Eric Schulman performs a careful statistical analysis of previous winners of the MacArthur Fellowship in order to determine who [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28083","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1069"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28083"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28083\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28083"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28083"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28083"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}