{"id":27663,"date":"2007-03-12T07:00:01","date_gmt":"2007-03-12T07:00:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.msdn.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/2007\/03\/12\/raymonds-highly-scientific-predictions-for-the-2007-ncaa-mens-basketball-tournament\/"},"modified":"2007-03-12T07:00:01","modified_gmt":"2007-03-12T07:00:01","slug":"raymonds-highly-scientific-predictions-for-the-2007-ncaa-mens-basketball-tournament","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/20070312-01\/?p=27663","title":{"rendered":"Raymond&#039;s highly scientific predictions for the 2007 NCAA men&#039;s basketball tournament"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> Every year, when it comes time to fill out my NCAA bracket, I choose an arbitrary criterion. You&#8217;d think this would take less work, but it actually takes more. My original plan was to rank teams based on how much they pay their head coaches, but it turns out that the salaries (and bonuses and perks) of the head coaches of school basketball programs is hard to find! Instead, I went with something much easier to find but which is still somewhat indicative (in an indirect sense) of the strength of the program: The seating capacity of the home arena. <\/p>\n<p> <b>Update<\/b>: <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Correct predictions are in green. <\/li>\n<li>Incorrect predictions are in red. <\/li>\n<li>(!) marks upsets correctly predicted. <\/li>\n<li>(*) marks upsets predicted but did not take place. <\/li>\n<li>(x) marks actual upsets not predicted. <\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<table border=\"0\" style=\"font-size: 60%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\"><\/p>\n<h4>Opening Round Game<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Florida A&amp;M<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(3,365)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Florida A&amp;M<br \/>(3,365)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Niagara<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(2,400)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\"><\/p>\n<h4>Midwest bracket<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">1<\/td>\n<td>Florida<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(12,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Florida<br \/>(12,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Arizona<br \/>(14,545)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Maryland<br \/>(17,950)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"23\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">UNLV<br \/>(18,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">16<\/td>\n<td>Jackson St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(8,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">8<\/td>\n<td>Arizona<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(14,545)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Arizona (x)<br \/>(14,545)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">9<\/td>\n<td>Purdue<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(14,123)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">5<\/td>\n<td>Butler<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(11,043)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Butler<br \/>(11,043)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Maryland (x)<br \/>(17,950)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">12<\/td>\n<td>Old Dominion<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(8,600)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">4<\/td>\n<td>Maryland<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(17,950)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Maryland<br \/>(17,950)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">13<\/td>\n<td>Davidson<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(5,700)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">6<\/td>\n<td>Notre Dame<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(11,418)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Notre Dame (x)<br \/>(11,418)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Notre Dame<br \/>(11,418)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">UNLV<br \/>(18,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">11<\/td>\n<td>Winthrop<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(6,100)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">3<\/td>\n<td>Oregon<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(9,087)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Miami (Ohio) (x)<br \/>(9,200)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">14<\/td>\n<td>Miami (Ohio)<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(9,200)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">7<\/td>\n<td>UNLV<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(18,500)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">UNLV<br \/>(18,500)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">UNLV<br \/>(18,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">10<\/td>\n<td>Georgia Tech<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(9,191)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">2<\/td>\n<td>Wisconsin<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(17,142)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Wisconsin<br \/>(17,142)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">15<\/td>\n<td>Texas A&amp;M CC<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(8,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\"><\/p>\n<h4>West bracket<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">1<\/td>\n<td>Kansas<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(16,300)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Kansas<br \/>(16,300)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Kentucky (*)<br \/>(23,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Kentucky<br \/>(23,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"23\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Kentucky<br \/>(23,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">16<\/td>\n<td>Florida A&amp;M<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(3,365)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">8<\/td>\n<td>Kentucky<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(23,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Kentucky<br \/>(23,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">9<\/td>\n<td>Villanova<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(6,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">5<\/td>\n<td>Virginia Tech<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(10,052)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Illinois (x)<br \/>(16,500)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Illinois<br \/>(16,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">12<\/td>\n<td>Illinois<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(16,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">4<\/td>\n<td>Southern Ill.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(9,628)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Southern Ill.<br \/>(9,628)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">13<\/td>\n<td>Holy Cross<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(3,600)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">6<\/td>\n<td>Duke<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(9,314)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Duke (x)<br \/>(9,314)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Pittsburgh<br \/>(12,504)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Indiana<br \/>(17,456)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">11<\/td>\n<td>VCU<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(7,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">3<\/td>\n<td>Pittsburgh<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(12,504)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Pittsburgh<br \/>(12,504)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">14<\/td>\n<td>Wright St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(11,019)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">7<\/td>\n<td>Indiana<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(17,456)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Indiana<br \/>(17,456)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Indiana (*)<br \/>(17,456)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">10<\/td>\n<td>Gonzaga<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(6,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">2<\/td>\n<td>UCLA<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(12,819)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">UCLA<br \/>(12,819)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">15<\/td>\n<td>Weber St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(12,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\"><\/p>\n<h4>East bracket<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">1<\/td>\n<td>N. Carolina<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(21,800)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">N. Carolina<br \/>(21,800)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">N. Carolina<br \/>(21,800)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">N. Carolina<br \/>(21,800)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"23\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">N. Carolina (x)<br \/>(21,800)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">16<\/td>\n<td>Eastern Ky.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(6,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">8<\/td>\n<td>Marquette<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(18,866)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Marquette (*)<br \/>(18,866)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">9<\/td>\n<td>Michigan St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(14,759)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">5<\/td>\n<td>Southern Cal<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(10,258)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Arkansas (*)<br \/>(19,200)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Arkansas<br \/>(19,200)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">12<\/td>\n<td>Arkansas<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(19,200)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">4<\/td>\n<td>Texas<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(16,755)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Texas<br \/>(16,755)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">13<\/td>\n<td>New Mexico St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(13,071)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">6<\/td>\n<td>Vanderbilt<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(14,316)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Vanderbilt<br \/>(14,316)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Vanderbilt (!)<br \/>(14,316)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Georgetown<br \/>(20,600)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">11<\/td>\n<td>G. Washington<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(5,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">3<\/td>\n<td>Washington St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(11,566)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Washington St.<br \/>(11,566)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">14<\/td>\n<td>Oral Roberts<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(10,575)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">7<\/td>\n<td>Boston College<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(8,606)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Texas Tech (*)<br \/>(15,098)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Georgetown<br \/>(20,600)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">10<\/td>\n<td>Texas Tech<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(15,098)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">2<\/td>\n<td>Georgetown<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(20,600)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Georgetown<br \/>(20,600)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">15<\/td>\n<td>Belmont<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(5,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\"><\/p>\n<h4>South bracket<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">1<\/td>\n<td>Ohio St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(19,200)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Ohio St.<br \/>(19,200)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">BYU<br \/>(22,700)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Tennessee<br \/>(24,535)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"23\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Tennessee<br \/>(24,535)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">16<\/td>\n<td>C. Conn. St.<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(3,200)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">8<\/td>\n<td>BYU<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(22,700)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">BYU (x)<br \/>(22,700)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">9<\/td>\n<td>Xavier<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(10,250)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">5<\/td>\n<td>Tennessee<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(24,535)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Tennessee<br \/>(24,535)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Tennessee (!)<br \/>(24,535)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">12<\/td>\n<td>Long Beach<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(5,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">4<\/td>\n<td>Virginia<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(16,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Virginia<br \/>(16,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">13<\/td>\n<td>Albany<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(5,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">6<\/td>\n<td>Louisville<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(18,865)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Louisville<br \/>(18,865)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Louisville (*)<br \/>(18,865)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"11\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Louisville<br \/>(18,865)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">11<\/td>\n<td>Stanford<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(7,391)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">3<\/td>\n<td>Texas A&amp;M<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(12,500)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Texas A&amp;M<br \/>(12,500)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">14<\/td>\n<td>Penn<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(8,700)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">7<\/td>\n<td>Nevada<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(11,200)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Creighton (*)<br \/>(17,272)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Memphis<br \/>(18,400)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">10<\/td>\n<td>Creighton<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(17,272)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">2<\/td>\n<td>Memphis<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(18,400)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ccffcc\">Memphis<br \/>(18,400)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td align=\"right\">15<\/td>\n<td>North Texas<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(10,032)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td colspan=\"7\"><\/p>\n<h4>Finals<\/h4>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>UNLV<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(18,500)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Kentucky<br \/>(23,000)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"5\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Tennessee<br \/>(24,535)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Kentucky<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(23,000)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td height=\"5\"><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>N. Carolina<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(21,800)<\/td>\n<td valign=\"CENTER\" rowspan=\"2\" style=\"border-left: solid black .75pt;padding-left: 1ex\" bgcolor=\"#ff99cc\">Tennessee<br \/>(24,535)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><\/td>\n<td>Tennessee<\/td>\n<td align=\"right\">(24,535)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p> The first full round is the crucial one. Not only are half of the games are first-round games, but your choices in the first round heavily influence your choices in subsequent rounds. I don&#8217;t know if anybody has ever submitted a bracket that was internally inconsistent. For example, having a team that lost in the first round magically reappear in the third round. It&#8217;s technically legal but highly unorthodox. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Every year, when it comes time to fill out my NCAA bracket, I choose an arbitrary criterion. You&#8217;d think this would take less work, but it actually takes more. My original plan was to rank teams based on how much they pay their head coaches, but it turns out that the salaries (and bonuses and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1069,"featured_media":111744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[107,103],"class_list":["post-27663","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-oldnewthing","tag-highly-scientific","tag-non-computer"],"acf":[],"blog_post_summary":"<p>Every year, when it comes time to fill out my NCAA bracket, I choose an arbitrary criterion. You&#8217;d think this would take less work, but it actually takes more. My original plan was to rank teams based on how much they pay their head coaches, but it turns out that the salaries (and bonuses and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27663","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1069"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27663"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27663\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/111744"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27663"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27663"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/devblogs.microsoft.com\/oldnewthing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27663"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}